Karen was able to listen in on BCREA’s chief Statisical Forecaster, Cameron Muir on the future of the real estate market. He provided us with a glimpse on what to see and what has happened in the market.
May was better than expected! We expecting a large decrease in sales but we are only slightly below last year which is good! We are now starting to stabilize. Buyers are coming back from Alberta and other areas of Canada. A drawback from our area of course is that the snowbirds can still buy very cheap (the word economical doesn’t seem to cut it).
Our area appears to be transition out of the doldrums and it is encouraging to say the least. We do have an elevated inventory and there are more listings appearing every day, however, it is also our traditional sales season. I do expect the numbers to start edging downward though as sales increase.
The US still has not recovered as quickly as they had hoped. But with that the good news is the 5 year fixed mortgage which was anticipated to come up should remain the same thru to the summer at any rate!!! Yeah! This should guarantee us affordability still with stable interest rates until fall.
Our one concern is that last year we started out the same and then flat lined from July until now. Sales were down and with it came a downward pressure on prices. In most cases prices are down to the 2006/2007 levels. We may bottom out in July and expect a lull at Christmas??? Who knows…Let’s just deal with today.
We are currently like a bouncing ball….2-3 weeks of activity and 2-3 weeks of lull. Because of that it is hard to grasp any real trends happening. If the summer doesn’t flat line (sounds like it’s a heart beat doesn’t it)and if we have even mediocre sales it will be a good sign.
As I mentioned above it is still too early for any consistent trends and we have to just look forward and see how spring/summer unfolds for all of us. It is still a very competitive market and it is all about ‘the price’. Too many beautiful towns with too many beautiful properties to sell….If you want your house to sell BE THE MOST COMPETITIVE ON THE MARKET. If you’re buying ‘up’ in this market then take a lower road on your sale because you’ll make it up when the market rises on your purchase.
It is so much more fun giving all of you good news as no one wants to hear the bad. But the truth is, if you want to sell right now, you have to be the best priced home on the market and you will sell. In a lot of cases that is the rule of thumb. Right now you can look at your 2006/2007 tax assessment and that is what houses are selling for. Sad but true.
We have to get through this year and into spring of 2012 before we are going to see a significant increase in sales. I ask you now….are you doing what it takes to get your place sold? My suggestion, let’s play hard ball and get it sold.
So no throwing of the tomatoes at me for the truth but feel free to give us a call to discuss any of this………….
